1. Pinellas County
- Obama won against Romney by 5 points in 2012. If Pinellas closer to tied early on, it would not be reassuring for Clinton and be a hopeful situation for Trump.
2. Pascal County
- Romney won by 6 points in 2012. If Trump does not start with a significant lead, it is good news for Clinton.
3. Hillsborough County
- Obama won by 7 points in 2012. If Trump leads or is even close behind Clinton, it is bad news for Clinton.
4. Miami-Dade
- Obama won by 24 points! If Clinton is not up by at least 20 points, it will be a good night for Trump.
5. Duval County
- Romney won by 4 points in 2012. Duval is considered a key Republican stronghold with a large Democratic-leaning African American population in Jacksonville. If Trump starts out doing better than Romney, it'll be good news for Trump.
6. Volusia Country
- Romney narrowly won in 2012. It will be good news for whoever Volusia start leaning towards.
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