Friday, September 16, 2016

Trump is back in action in Florida

Donald Trump has been significantly behind Hillary Clinton in the polling averages from Real Clear Politics since August 3, 2016 until a swift rise in the polls for Trump on August 3, 2016, that surpassed Clinton on September 12, 2016.


Support from many older whites is really keeping Trump in action. The elderly and non-Hispanic whites are most likely to vote. The race in Florida is ultimately about motivating white vs non-white voters. According to Marc Caputo of CNN Politics, "If he can keep Clinton’s white support below 35 percent (Obama won 37 percent, according to 2012 exit polls) and boost white turnout by just a few points, Florida operatives say he’ll likely win the state."

Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/09/donald-trump-florida-battleground-228189#ixzz4KQkJjZbL


African Americans, mixed-race voters, and Hispanics are more likely to vote Democrat, but have historically turned out less to vote, yet more likely to turn out during presidential election years. Because of the influence of Republican-leaning Cuban-Americans, Florida Latinos/as have had a slightly lower turnout than in other battleground states. However, the Clinton campaign is investing heavily in the turnout of the Puerto Rican population, which is the fastest growing Hispanic population in Florida and may soon match the numbers of Cuban-Americans in the state.

Trump's support from Republicans has been mixed since his nomination, but his rebound these past couple of days has generated some enthusiasm for him winning the election.

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