Today Mike Pence made a stop in Maitland to campaign for his running mate. He made a point to let everyone know that the race in Florida is far from finished and that it is extremely close. He cited the polls and made jokes about how Clinton was about to measure the curtains because she had Florida in the bag, however Trump has recently made quite a comeback. He was very careful about discussing Clinton's misuse of classified information over email, but he made sure everyone know that nobody in this country is above the law. He highly encouraged everyone to get out and vote early and let everyone know where the nearest early voting location is. Many people in the crowd were very focused on a Republican win down ballot as well as presidentially.
Source: http://www.sun-sentinel.com
Monday, October 31, 2016
Tuesday, October 25, 2016
The House of Representitives was already going to lose Republicans this election after maxing out their majority and with a liberal leaning voter turnout this presidential election, according to NPR.
However, with the redestricing of the maps in 2010 Democratic opportunities are limited, but court-ordered redistricing will give Democrats an initial boost.
In Florida, while Republican House candidates are expected to still takeover there are districts NPR deems likely to turn Democrat this election. Six of Florida's districts made this list of 40 districts, all of them at the top for most likely to flip.
1. Florida's 2nd District is likely to switch from Democrat to Republican as a result of the redistricting.
2. Florida's 10th District is predicted to turn Democrat. This is a result of the redistricting as current Rep. Dan Webster decided to run in the neighboring district where his chances of being elected as a republican are more likely.
4.Rep. David Jolly of Florida's 13th District also initially intended not to re-run due to redrawings of his district that make it more difficult for a Republican to get elected.
8. Democrats are now favored in Florida's 7th District of Puerto Rico thanks to its Puerto Rican population. With a strong Democratic candidate, Stephanie Murphy, whose immigrant story is affective in refuting Trump this district is likely to flip as well.
9. Florida's 26th District is a tough district for Republicans and is likely to turn Democratic, despite the unfavorable Democratic candidate.
14. Florida's 18th District is usually Republican in presidential election years. It's also the district democratic governor nominee Patrick Murphy currently serves as Democratic. The disappointing nature of the democratic candidate has Republicans feeling hopeful.
Source: http://www.npr.org/2016/10/24/499082622/house-top-40-flipping-control-still-a-tough-task-for-democrats
However, with the redestricing of the maps in 2010 Democratic opportunities are limited, but court-ordered redistricing will give Democrats an initial boost.
In Florida, while Republican House candidates are expected to still takeover there are districts NPR deems likely to turn Democrat this election. Six of Florida's districts made this list of 40 districts, all of them at the top for most likely to flip.
Florida's old congressional districts
Florida's new congressional districts
1. Florida's 2nd District is likely to switch from Democrat to Republican as a result of the redistricting.
2. Florida's 10th District is predicted to turn Democrat. This is a result of the redistricting as current Rep. Dan Webster decided to run in the neighboring district where his chances of being elected as a republican are more likely.
4.Rep. David Jolly of Florida's 13th District also initially intended not to re-run due to redrawings of his district that make it more difficult for a Republican to get elected.
8. Democrats are now favored in Florida's 7th District of Puerto Rico thanks to its Puerto Rican population. With a strong Democratic candidate, Stephanie Murphy, whose immigrant story is affective in refuting Trump this district is likely to flip as well.
9. Florida's 26th District is a tough district for Republicans and is likely to turn Democratic, despite the unfavorable Democratic candidate.
14. Florida's 18th District is usually Republican in presidential election years. It's also the district democratic governor nominee Patrick Murphy currently serves as Democratic. The disappointing nature of the democratic candidate has Republicans feeling hopeful.
Source: http://www.npr.org/2016/10/24/499082622/house-top-40-flipping-control-still-a-tough-task-for-democrats
Sunday, October 23, 2016
Bill Clinton Preaching to Black and Jewish Congregations
Today, Bill Clinton was in southern Florida stumping for his wife at several churches where the congregations are predominately black or Jewish. Amongst his typical "friendly man" rhetoric, he was doing a lot of name dropping of famous black people from world history such as Muhammad Ali and Nelson Mandela. While never mentioning Donald Trump by name, he was quick to dismiss just about everything that he has ever said. It was noted that at the age of 70, Clinton's powerful persona wasn't nearly as clear and strong as it once was. He did, however, make a point to stop and speak with musicians on his way to the pulpit at one church, especially nodding to the saxophonist.
The blacks and Jewish are two groups who's votes are vital for Clinton to obtain if she is to beat Trump in Florida. He noted that people should stop lashing out against Trump supporters because there doesn't need to be any more anger and hate in this election cycle. His main goal in all of this was to try to persuade more people to actually get out and vote since it is the one day that everybody has an equal amount of power regardless of how much money they have.
Source: http://www.sun-sentinel.com
The blacks and Jewish are two groups who's votes are vital for Clinton to obtain if she is to beat Trump in Florida. He noted that people should stop lashing out against Trump supporters because there doesn't need to be any more anger and hate in this election cycle. His main goal in all of this was to try to persuade more people to actually get out and vote since it is the one day that everybody has an equal amount of power regardless of how much money they have.
Source: http://www.sun-sentinel.com
Tuesday, October 18, 2016
Who's funding Florida's Senate race?
Florida Senate candidates Marco Rubio and Patrick Murphy have received more than $24.8 million in donations from outside groups.
The amount of donations Florida's U.S. Senate has received is nowhere near the amount others states have seen.
Here's how the dollar amounts have been used thus far in the Senate race: $17.8 million attacking Murphy and $1.4 million supporting Rubio and on the other side, $4.9 million attacking Rubio and $752,000 supporting Murphy, according to Florida Politics.
In other words, 92 percent of the money has been used to bash the opposing candidate rather than create a media that lays out the candidate's policies. Meanwhile, 77 percent of these dollars are supporting Rubio.
The amount of money spent on negative advertising shouldn't come as a huge surprise, however it's important to note that when 92 percent of donation dollars are used criticize an opponent rather than recognize a candidate's qualities we're failing at an opportunity to educate people on the real issues.
Campaign advertisements aren't something people chose to consume, rather they're put in places consumers happen upon without choice.
But the polls don't reflect the dollars spent from outside donations. While Rubio is receiving such great amounts of donations in comparison to Murphy, he's only in a 4.7 lead, according to Real Clear Politics. I should point out, I also heard on NPR Murphy's father is budgeting most of his campaign expenses. Therefore, he's not relying as much on outside donors.
However, I'm wondering, in what spaces are these dollars put to use and who has access to them?
Because I sense that millennials, often liberal leaning, might not be part of the audience consuming these negative advertisements, which could explain why Murphy is barely lagging in the polls even though his donations are so much less.
This goes back to an idea I've had that Republicans focus more on campaigning across as much geographic space as possible, because their voters are more spread out in rural place. So meanwhile, maybe Democrats are pursuing outreach through a different kind of space. For example, appearances on certain networks, partnership of ideas with other politically vocal people etc.
There isn't a lot of this comradery going on in the splintered Republican party at the moment.
Sources
http://floridapolitics.com/archives/224283-outside-groups-pour-24-million-florida-u-s-senate-race-mostly-aiding-marco-rubio
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/senate/fl/florida_senate_rubio_vs_murphy-5222.html
The amount of donations Florida's U.S. Senate has received is nowhere near the amount others states have seen.
Here's how the dollar amounts have been used thus far in the Senate race: $17.8 million attacking Murphy and $1.4 million supporting Rubio and on the other side, $4.9 million attacking Rubio and $752,000 supporting Murphy, according to Florida Politics.
In other words, 92 percent of the money has been used to bash the opposing candidate rather than create a media that lays out the candidate's policies. Meanwhile, 77 percent of these dollars are supporting Rubio.
The amount of money spent on negative advertising shouldn't come as a huge surprise, however it's important to note that when 92 percent of donation dollars are used criticize an opponent rather than recognize a candidate's qualities we're failing at an opportunity to educate people on the real issues.
Campaign advertisements aren't something people chose to consume, rather they're put in places consumers happen upon without choice.
But the polls don't reflect the dollars spent from outside donations. While Rubio is receiving such great amounts of donations in comparison to Murphy, he's only in a 4.7 lead, according to Real Clear Politics. I should point out, I also heard on NPR Murphy's father is budgeting most of his campaign expenses. Therefore, he's not relying as much on outside donors.
However, I'm wondering, in what spaces are these dollars put to use and who has access to them?
Because I sense that millennials, often liberal leaning, might not be part of the audience consuming these negative advertisements, which could explain why Murphy is barely lagging in the polls even though his donations are so much less.
This goes back to an idea I've had that Republicans focus more on campaigning across as much geographic space as possible, because their voters are more spread out in rural place. So meanwhile, maybe Democrats are pursuing outreach through a different kind of space. For example, appearances on certain networks, partnership of ideas with other politically vocal people etc.
There isn't a lot of this comradery going on in the splintered Republican party at the moment.
Sources
http://floridapolitics.com/archives/224283-outside-groups-pour-24-million-florida-u-s-senate-race-mostly-aiding-marco-rubio
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/senate/fl/florida_senate_rubio_vs_murphy-5222.html
Monday, October 17, 2016
Mail In Ballot Signatures
There has been increasing fire from the Florida Democratic Party because of the amount of mail in ballots that are rejected each year due to the voter's signature not matching close enough to what is on file. The democrats filed a lawsuit as a result of this, saying that those who's ballots are rejected should be given an opportunity to fix their ballot before election day. In the past, these voters have had no idea about this until after the election, when their ballot no longer could be counted. The reasoning behind this lawsuit is that people's handwriting changes over the years and they should not be denied their rights to vote based on this.
Source: http://www.news4jax.com/
Source: http://www.news4jax.com/
Saturday, October 15, 2016
Florida voter registration extended until October 18
Florida Democrats were able to score a victory on October 12, 2016 after claiming that voter registraton needed to be extended because of the stress from Hurricane Matthew.
Judge Mark E. Walker, of the US District Court for the Northern District of Florida, granted a preliminary injuction with a deadline on October 11, but was extended to October 12 in order to be able to hold hearings. Judge Walker was able to hear a testimony from the Leon County Supervisor of Elections about the "tremendous strain" the storm put on election offices.
Governor Rick Scott told reporters last week told reports that he was not planning on making any changes and that people have had enough time to register.
The attorney for the Florida Democratic party and the Clinton campaign, Marc Elias, had to argue that Florida voters needed the extension because the hurricane was a life threatening obstacle that kept them from registering.
Pamela Goodman, the president of the League of Women Voters of Florida, is happy that her organization can now make up for lost time caused by the storm.
Judge Walker and Myrna Perez, deputy director of the Brennan Center's Democracy Program, placed great emphasis on how the ruling upheld the United States' value of having citizens be able to exercise their fundamental right to vote.
Judge Mark E. Walker, of the US District Court for the Northern District of Florida, granted a preliminary injuction with a deadline on October 11, but was extended to October 12 in order to be able to hold hearings. Judge Walker was able to hear a testimony from the Leon County Supervisor of Elections about the "tremendous strain" the storm put on election offices.
Governor Rick Scott told reporters last week told reports that he was not planning on making any changes and that people have had enough time to register.
The attorney for the Florida Democratic party and the Clinton campaign, Marc Elias, had to argue that Florida voters needed the extension because the hurricane was a life threatening obstacle that kept them from registering.
Pamela Goodman, the president of the League of Women Voters of Florida, is happy that her organization can now make up for lost time caused by the storm.
Judge Walker and Myrna Perez, deputy director of the Brennan Center's Democracy Program, placed great emphasis on how the ruling upheld the United States' value of having citizens be able to exercise their fundamental right to vote.
Monday, October 10, 2016
Florida Voter Registration Deadline
Tomorrow is the deadline to register to vote in Florida, but the state's Democratic Party is not pleased with that deadline. They believe that the registration deadline should be extended due to Hurricane Matthew, but Governor Rick Scott claims that the people have had plenty of time to register for this crucial election. The democrats have filed a lawsuit in federal court on Sunday, asking the judge to extend the voter registration period by at least a week stating that the deadline is "forcing voters to choose between their safety and the safety of their families, on one hand, and their fundamental right to vote, on the other hand." In many areas of Florida, the US Postal Service has suspended its services until the storm passes, making it impossible for many to register by mail. Also, many roads and bridges are closed, making it much more difficult to go anywhere. Many people have also evacuated the area after Gov. Scott recommended it to the people. So far, Florida has roughly 12.5 million registered voters. Many democrats are claiming that by refusing to extend the deadline, Gov. Scott is violating federal law because it implies he is favoring certain voters over others.
http://www.baynews9.com
http://www.baynews9.com
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